Pakistan's 130 Nukes are aimed on India. Saying this recently, Hanif Abbasi, a minister of Pakistan, has threated India."Ghauri, Shaheen, Ghaznavi, these 130 nuclear weapons are only made for India". He says that if India stops Indus water supply, they will start nuclear war against India. Pakistan's defence minister threatens nuclear response to India's 'imminent military incursion'
To Start A Nuclear War with India Three Aspects Should Be Seen:
1. Can Pakistan afford it Nationally?
2. Can Pakistan afford it Internationally?
3. Can Pakistan afford that legally?
ØCan Pakistan afford it Nationally?
Pakistan
conducted six nuclear tests on May 28,1998, inside a deeply dug tunnel in the
remote Chaghi mountain of Balochistan province, as tit-for-tat response to
India’s nuclear tests in the same month at the Indian Army’s Pokhran Test Range
and became world’s first Islamic nation to have nuclear power. China helped
Pakistan by giving them nuclear technology, backing them financially, technology
for Uranium Enrichment, designs for making bomb, missile launchers.
TO MAKE A NUCLEAR WEAPON IT
HAS 4 STAGES
1.
Strong Financial Backing
In 1974, Pakistan started Project 706 which is to make
nuclear bomb, Libya paid Qadeer $100m in nuke deal and further Saudi Arabia has
invested in Pakistan nuclear weapons projects, and believes it could obtain
atomic bombs.
2.
Designs for uranium enrichment and
technology
Dr khan
stole the designs, Dutch investigators found, and he fled back to Pakistan in
1976. He used the blueprints and his knowledge to set up an enrichment project
in Kahuta, near Islamabad, that reported directly to the prime minister. He
drew heavily on Dutch lists of nearly 100 companies that supplies centrifuge
parts and materials.
3.
Designs for making a bomb
China
gave their tried and tested CHIC-4 bomb design, which was first tested in 1966
to Pakistan and also given permission to test their nuclear missile on their
land.
4.
Missile launcher
North Korea
helped Pakistan by giving their missile launchers same as used in their ‘Nodong
missile’.
Ø Can Pakistan afford it Internationally?
To Make Any Nuclear Action Pak Needs To Follow Following Protocols
By NCBMs (Nuclear Confidence Building Measures)
-
Agreement on the
prohibition of Attack Against Nuclear Installation (1988, effective 1991)
· Refrain from any actions causing harm to
nuclear installations or facilities in other state, broadly defined to cover
various aspects of the nuclear fuel
· Information about the latitude and
longitude of nuclear installations annually on the 1st of January.
-
Agreement on Advance
Notification of Military Exercises, Manoeuvres and Troop Movements (1991)
-
Lahore Declaration
(1999)
-
Advance Notification
of Ballistic Missile Tests (2005)
· Provide advanced
notification to other state about any planned flight tests on land or
sea-launched surface-to-surface ballistic missiles. Notification should be
given no less then three days before the commencement of a five-day launch
window for such tests.
-
Agreement on Reducing
the Risk from Accidents Relating to Nuclear Weapons (2007)
-
DGMO Hotline
Communication Mechanism
HENCE IND OR PAK BOTH COULD NOT MAKE ANY NUCLEAR ACTION WITHOUT
FOLLOWING THIS PROTOCOLS.
Ø Can Pakistan afford that legally?
If
Pakistan tries to make any actions like nuclear war without following any
protocol then,
1.
Nuclear Command
Authority (NCA) members will pass the approval to the prime minister.
2.
Pakistan has
“non-mated” missiles which means bomb, missile and launch site are at different
places. For eg. If they try to attack on India, they have to transport bomb
from Dera Ghazi Nuclear Complex to Taranawa missile complex which is 569.22 Km
distant long route. This will be leading to heavy movement and can be
identified by neighbouring countries. Which can led the allegations on Pakistan
to break the protocol.